Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.029661 0.031996 0.034441 0.037193 0.040210 0.043420 0.047100
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.025862 0.029201 0.032890 0.037281 0.042384 0.048148 0.055184
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.022899 0.026739 0.031154 0.036635 0.043295 0.051178 0.061288
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.020851 0.025013 0.029955 0.036302 0.044307 0.054157 0.067333
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.019206 0.023566 0.028886 0.035919 0.045076 0.056730 0.072909
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.017652 0.022077 0.027602 0.035091 0.045113 0.058251 0.077096
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.016819 0.021422 0.027296 0.035454 0.046665 0.061793 0.084206
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.015937 0.020628 0.026734 0.035397 0.047593 0.064488 0.090275
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015342 0.020167 0.026567 0.035837 0.049197 0.068187 0.098037
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014536 0.019365 0.025875 0.035479 0.049607 0.070154 0.103311
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.013874 0.018719 0.025353 0.035311 0.050255 0.072474 0.109264
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013230 0.018060 0.024770 0.035007 0.050656 0.074416 0.114725
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012757 0.017626 0.024491 0.035141 0.051740 0.077499 0.122341
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012142 0.016955 0.023832 0.034661 0.051833 0.079010 0.127439
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011509 0.016228 0.023051 0.033943 0.051491 0.079775 0.131283
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011027 0.015701 0.022540 0.033610 0.051737 0.081503 0.136937
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010574 0.015195 0.022036 0.033254 0.051912 0.083102 0.142463
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010053 0.014563 0.021307 0.032497 0.051363 0.083408 0.145593
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009827 0.014374 0.021254 0.032828 0.052666 0.087016 0.155262
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.009527 0.014054 0.020979 0.032776 0.053299 0.089461 0.162875
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.009345 0.013912 0.020979 0.033177 0.054741 0.093459 0.173923
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.009016 0.013523 0.020563 0.032850 0.054861 0.095007 0.180100
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.008742 0.013211 0.020259 0.032697 0.055281 0.097139 0.187669